Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 765.838814 864.447381 974.560634 1107.318752 1263.944026 1443.962920 1668.134213
2025-03-23 628.114521 759.182391 919.139883 1131.524396 1410.410068 1770.341452 2280.484581
2025-03-30 535.312156 672.279382 848.103976 1095.176835 1441.455312 1922.345099 2664.846592
2025-04-06 468.562511 606.550771 790.991074 1062.459076 1464.242125 2058.497230 3048.590398
2025-04-13 415.579118 551.081962 738.167963 1024.142892 1467.050594 2158.265611 3389.451018
2025-04-20 393.682339 535.207320 737.320530 1058.887567 1581.910415 2447.958920 4112.113406
2025-04-27 369.422754 512.852603 723.633209 1070.746773 1660.067092 2689.061344 4809.657053
2025-05-04 347.940510 492.158306 709.628682 1079.199005 1732.114087 2930.853023 5575.390377
2025-05-11 328.455416 472.488596 694.806037 1083.659824 1796.549709 3169.231667 6405.289912
2025-05-18 317.754880 465.269738 698.653955 1119.669518 1923.243759 3554.485401 7702.760949
2025-05-25 306.506559 456.068834 698.081940 1147.290944 2037.661607 3938.763440 9148.080218
2025-06-01 293.091677 442.188588 688.202890 1156.387036 2116.009122 4260.828771 10561.189333
2025-06-08 278.055344 424.956057 671.820838 1152.863037 2171.049523 4550.579509 12045.357782
2025-06-15 268.042980 415.462066 668.212490 1173.780409 2283.159480 5011.356569 14339.785540
2025-06-22 250.566128 391.895650 637.353395 1136.752891 2258.874917 5114.000837 15442.912099
2025-06-29 235.035339 370.705293 609.189338 1102.213395 2235.177993 5213.719380 16602.638128
2025-07-06 220.094359 349.653103 579.770459 1062.129714 2192.559093 5251.622184 17548.063656
2025-07-13 216.198101 347.915546 586.259465 1098.514958 2342.814129 5895.584521 21606.768476
2025-07-20 209.584339 340.823583 581.938379 1110.945487 2434.974349 6392.011559 25427.488440
2025-07-27 203.010326 333.374336 576.313944 1119.802822 2519.510997 6892.479925 29784.153680
2025-08-03 196.419645 325.483971 569.205217 1124.478418 2593.765185 7384.464108 34663.969071
2025-08-10 193.675473 324.605620 576.010528 1162.229244 2768.373567 8307.116605 43679.538536
2025-08-17 190.127680 321.961592 578.978988 1191.196931 2923.858156 9225.867837 54334.302364